Major crime in the Bronx is down 9.4% year-to-date in 2026 compared to the same period in 2025, according to the latest NYPD CompStat Bronx Borough Report. That translates to roughly 652 fewer serious crimes compared to last year’s pace.
That’s not a margin-of-error shift. It’s a real, measurable drop that affects daily life in every neighborhood from Fordham to Hunts Point.
But “crime is down” doesn’t tell you which crimes are down, by how much, or what that means if you’re deciding whether to leave your car on the street or walk home after a late shift. Here’s the full breakdown.
What’s Falling — And Falling Hard
Burglary: Down 21.5%
This is the standout number. Bronx burglaries dropped from 778 to 611 year-to-date — a 21.5% decline that mirrors a citywide trend the NYPD has called historically significant. Citywide, burglary is tracking at the second-lowest level in recorded history.
For residents: your home or apartment is meaningfully less likely to be broken into in 2026 than it was in 2025. A 21.5% reduction isn’t a blip — it’s a statistically significant shift that translates to 167 fewer homes or businesses targeted in the Bronx so far this year.
Auto Theft: Down 18.2%
Grand larceny auto — the official term for car theft — dropped from 996 to 815 in the Bronx year-to-date. That’s an 18.2% decline, representing 181 fewer vehicles stolen than at this point last year.
After years of catalytic converter thefts and car theft spikes that plagued outer-borough neighborhoods, this is a genuine reversal. Your car is statistically safer on a Bronx street in 2026 than it was in 2025.
Robbery: Down 8.1%
Robberies — which include muggings, chain-snatching, and street crimes where force or threat is used to take property — dropped from 1,043 to 958. An 8.1% decrease means the crime category most likely to affect Bronx residents in public spaces is moving in the right direction.
This matters for anyone who rides the bus, walks to the subway, or is out after dark.
Grand Larceny: Down 10.6%
Thefts not involving force — package thefts, pickpocketing, shoplifting at the felony level — fell from 2,095 to 1,872. The 10.6% drop mirrors broader citywide trends and suggests both opportunistic theft and organized retail theft are declining in the borough.
Felony Assault: Down 1.5%
Felony-level attacks — serious physical altercations that result in injury or involve a weapon — declined from 2,072 to 2,040. The 1.5% decrease is modest compared to other categories, but it’s directionally consistent with the overall picture of falling violent crime in the Bronx.
The One Number That Went the Other Way
Murder: Slightly Up
The Bronx recorded 21 murders year-to-date in 2026, compared to 19 in the same period last year. That’s 2 additional homicides — and that number deserves honest context.
At this scale, a swing of 2 murders represents statistical noise more than a trend. Homicide counts fluctuate significantly when the base numbers are this low — a few incidents clustered in a short span can reverse the figure in either direction within weeks.
The broader picture: citywide, 2026 is on pace for a historic year. The NYPD recorded just 54 murders across all five boroughs in Q1 2026 — down 28% from 75 in Q1 2025. According to the NYPD’s April 2, 2026 press release, that’s the fewest murders in recorded NYPD history for a first quarter. Shooting incidents through Q1 stood at 139 — tied with 2025 for the lowest ever recorded.
Two additional murders in the Bronx during a period when the city as a whole is at a historic low is not a sign of a neighborhood in crisis. It’s a reminder that progress isn’t always linear — and that even in a strong year, violence can still touch communities.
The Full Picture: All Seven Categories Side by Side
Here’s the complete Bronx year-to-date comparison from the NYPD CompStat Bronx Borough Report (updated April 27, 2026):
| Crime Category | 2026 YTD | 2025 YTD | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murder | 21 | 19 | +2 (+10.5%) |
| Robbery | 958 | 1,043 | −85 (−8.1%) |
| Felony Assault | 2,040 | 2,072 | −32 (−1.5%) |
| Burglary | 611 | 778 | −167 (−21.5%) |
| Grand Larceny | 1,872 | 2,095 | −223 (−10.6%) |
| Grand Larceny Auto | 815 | 996 | −181 (−18.2%) |
| Total Major Crime | 6,298 | 6,950 | −652 (−9.4%) |
The Bronx in Citywide Context
The Bronx is outperforming the city as a whole on crime reduction. The borough’s 9.4% overall decline is above the citywide average, meaning the Bronx is driving improvement rather than lagging behind it.
This tracks with a larger story the NYPD announced in early April 2026: Q1 citywide murders at a historic low, shooting incidents tied for the lowest ever recorded, and burglary at the second-lowest level in NYPD history. The Bronx — which has historically had higher crime rates per capita than Manhattan or Staten Island — has posted some of the steepest declines over the past five years. That trend continued in 2026.
What the Aggregate Doesn’t Show You
CompStat is a borough-level summary. The Bronx spans more than a dozen precincts — covering the 40th, 41st, 42nd, 43rd, 44th, 45th, 46th, 47th, 48th, 49th, and 52nd police precincts — and crime is not distributed evenly across them.
A 9.4% decline borough-wide does not mean every neighborhood improved equally. Some precincts are likely driving the improvement while others may lag. A crime category that fell 20% in one part of the Bronx could still be elevated in another.
If you want precinct-specific numbers — not the borough aggregate — the NYPD publishes weekly PDF reports for every precinct. You can find yours through the NYPD Borough and Precinct Crime Stats page. NYPD CompStat 2.0 also allows you to filter by precinct and view interactive maps of crime complaints by type and time of day.
What This Means for Everyday Decisions
If you’re a Bronx resident asking whether these numbers should change your daily habits, here’s a plain-language translation:
Parking your car on the street? The 18.2% drop in auto theft suggests meaningfully lower risk than a year ago. Check your specific precinct’s data for hyperlocal trends, but the borough-wide direction is favorable.
Walking home late? Robbery is down 8.1%. Street crime is falling, not spiking. The data doesn’t justify heightened alarm — but knowing your specific block and well-lit routes always matters.
Package deliveries at your door? Burglary is down 21.5%. Grand larceny — which includes porch piracy at the felony level — is down 10.6%. Both trends favor residents.
Worried about violent crime? Overall violent crime is declining. The murder uptick of 2 incidents is real but statistically small at this sample size. The city is at a historic murder low, and the Bronx is part of that story.
How to Track This Yourself — Week by Week
The NYPD updates CompStat data every week. You don’t need to wait for a news story to know what’s happening in your neighborhood. Here’s where to go:
- NYPD CompStat 2.0 — Interactive maps, precinct filters, time-of-day breakdowns. Search by address.
- NYPD Borough and Precinct Crime Stats — Downloadable PDFs for every borough and precinct, updated weekly.
- NYPD Citywide Crime Stats — The week-by-week citywide overview that puts borough numbers in perspective.
The data is public, updated frequently, and free to access. The Bronx is not a monolith — your precinct’s story may be better or worse than the borough average. Use these tools to find out.
Data sourced from the NYPD CompStat Bronx Borough Report (updated April 27, 2026) and the NYPD Q1 2026 press release (April 2, 2026). Crime statistics are year-to-date comparisons against the equivalent period in 2025.
